🍃Environment & Energy⚡️
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People are snapping up electric vehicles in ever increasing numbers around the world. The International Energy Agency says that in 2023, EV sales grew by about 35%, with 3.5 million more electric vehicles sold than in 2022. It is expecting those sales numbers to continue to grow. EV sales were 25% higher in the first quarter of this year than they were in the same period last year.
The IEA expects that this year the market share for EVs will reach 45% in China, 25% in Europe, and crack 11% in the United States.
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The Danish government is tabling millions of Danish kroner in an effort to convince farmers to convert agricultural land near waterways and coastlines into nature reserves. The goal is to create a natural buffer against fertilizers being washed into the sea. The Environment Ministry says there is an unfolding crisis in Danish inland waterways, with a mere five out of 109 coastal water areas registering as being in good condition, with the rest suffering catastrophic levels of oxygen depletion. Last year, a record high level of oxygen loss was recorded in Danish fjords, resulting in mass fish die offs and blankets of algae suffocating all marine life.
Environment Minister Magnus Heunicke says speed is now of essence.
“The most important means of preventing the discharge of nutrients into the marine environment is to take agricultural land out of production. But it is not going fast enough. Our expert group points to, among other things, the processing time as one of the obstacles. Therefore, we have just opened a pool of 32.8 million Danish kroner, which will boost the municipalities' efforts to help farmers who are ready to give some of their farmland back to nature.”
The funding driving the grant scheme will be available until May 24. The goal is to remove 100,000 hectares from agricultural production and return them to nature.
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Norway is out. The Norwegian Minister of Climate and Environment, Andreas Bjelland Eriksen, says that Norway has been given the boot from the High Ambition Coalition, a group of countries working together to fight climate change.
“At a meeting with the Marshall Islands in March, we were told that we would no longer be invited. The reason was that Norway is still a major oil and gas producer and that we have not joined any declarations from the coalition since 2021.”
The HAC countries include Denmark, Austria, Belgium, Iceland, Chile, Finland, France, New Zealand, Kenya, Monaco, Slovenia, and Samoa.
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Scotland's ambitious journey towards decarbonization has hit a roadblock as the Scottish government announces it is abandoning its 2030 climate targets, deeming them "out of reach." Scottish Net Zero Secretary Mairi McAllan declared, during a Parliament speech in Edinburgh, that the country will be unable to achieve the necessary 75% cut in greenhouse gas emissions. Further adding that in the fight against climate change, Scotland is “trying to achieve societal and economic transformation, with one hand tied behind our back." While this setback raises eyebrows, McAllan says Scotland remains steadfast in its commitment to the 2045 net-zero target, aligning itself with EU states like Germany and Denmark, which also have some of the most ambitious climate targets in Europe.
Scotland is relying heavily on its wind-rich resources to drive its aggressive climate agenda, with concerns mounting that those resources are being squandered. There is insufficient transmission capacity between Scotland and England. This means that Scottish wind power producers are often told to curtail production, which they are then compensated for, and instead of green electricity, consumers across the UK use gas instead.
The UK government, under Conservative Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, seems to be lagging. With a 2050 net-zero strategy and controversial decisions like pushing back bans on internal combustion engine vehicles and supporting new gas-fired power plants, tensions between the two administrations have reached new heights.
The rift between Edinburgh and London isn't merely ideological; it has tangible implications for investors, energy markets, and the overall political cohesion of the United Kingdom. As Scotland accuses the UK of hindering its energy and climate ambitions, citing a "betrayal of public services" in the UK Spring Budget. With the looming possibility of insufficient transmission capacity and the disparity between Scottish wind production and UK energy consumption, the need for the two governments to get on the same page has never been clearer.
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It is officially the rainiest April on record in Denmark. As of Friday afternoon, 98.6 millimeters of rain had fallen so far this month, exceeding the record previously set in 1936. It also makes this month the wettest April since the Danish Meteorological Institute began tracking the statistic back in 1874. DMI says that it has rained somewhere in Denmark every single day of the month.
April also set a single day rainfall record with. 21.1 millimeters coming down on April 2, the most of any day in any April ever and the most rain to fall in a single day so far this year.
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Sweden’s wild spring continues, with temperatures in southern Sweden possibly hitting 20 degrees today. The Swedish Weather Agency (SMHI) says Stockholm will be around 18 with the warm front moving into Northern Sweden on Tuesday, which should push the thermometer there between 10 and 15 degrees.
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The Danish Energy Agency has given approval for a British company to begin extracting oil and gas from the untapped Hejre field under the North Sea, about 300 kilometers off of the west coast of Jutland.
This has drawn the ire of Greenpeace. Climate Policy Director Helene Hagel, who spoke to DR.
“It is the absolute stupidest thing you can do at this point in world history to give permission to open a brand new oil and gas field in the North Sea. It is a completely different climate and political reality that we are in now.”
While oil and gas extraction fall under agreements dating back to 1998, Hagel says Danish Climate and Energy Minister Lars Aagaard should have intervened to put a stop to it.
For his part, Minister Aagaard would not comment on the case, referring it instead to the Danish Energy Agency.
According to the agency’s own statistics, the Hejre field has the potential for some 67 million barrels of oil and 3.5 billion cubic meters of gas. Conversely, the environmental consequences are steep, with the potential to emit 35 million tonnes of CO2.
The company behind the extraction attempt is Ineos, and it has its work cut out for it. The Hejre field is a relatively small oil and gas deposit, but it is also the deepest one under the North Sea floor, about 5,000 meters deep. Previous efforts to get to that oil and gas have failed due to the immense challenges and daunting cost.
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The energy crisis is a thing of the past, and so it appears are the huge profit margins at Danish energy giant Norlys. In 2022, when the energy crisis sent prices through the roof, the company posted a profit of 4.2 billion Danish kroner. Last year, those profits fell to 398 million kroner as electricity prices normalized and the energy crisis released its grip.
Managing Director Niels Duedahl:
“2023 was a challenging year with fierce competition. At the same time, we, like many others, felt increased interest rates and inflation in society.”
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Work is underway on the Aurora Line, a new high transmission power line running between Finland and northern Sweden. The power line is being called an important piece of the puzzle in enabling the industrial green energy transition in Sweden’s north. About 300 people are working on the Swedish side. On the Finnish side, workers have finished about 14% of the route to the Swedish border. The goal is to have the work done and electricity running through the line by 2025. The project will cost €270 million, with the funding split three ways between the two countries and the EU.
🇮🇹🇪🇺/ 🇷🇺
While the European Union has loudly declared it is ending its reliance on Russian natural gas, in reality, that is not exactly how it is playing out on the ground. Not only is Russian LNG still arriving in European ports, but in Italy’s case, it is using more Russian gas, not less.
Ricerche Industriali ed Energetiche Energy and Geopolitics Research Fellow Francesco Sassi says that in March, Italy imported three times the amount of Russian LNG that it had imported in the same month a year ago.
“At first, I could not believe my eyes. But doing some digging into the data is revealing an unpleasant truth. Italy still relies on Russian gas more than it would appear. In March, Italian gas imports from Austria ballooned year-over-year and month-to-month.”
Austria is where Russian gas pipelines running through Ukraine converge with the western gas network. Sassi says that almost all of the gas Italy is using likely comes from Russia via the long term contracts Russia’s state owned oil and gas giant Gazprom has with Italian energy companies.
Sassi says the simple answer to why Italy is still so reliant on Russian gas is energy security. While Italy can turn to gas suppliers from African and Middle Eastern sources, the ongoing tensions in the Red Sea have made LNG shipments from those areas very slow and unreliable.
The European Union has set itself the goal of ending its dependence on Russian gas entirely by 2027.
🦠Outbreaks🦠
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The World Health Organization remains extremely concerned about a huge global outbreak of avian influenza as the virus jumps to a number of new species. Among them are seals, sea lions, cats, dogs, and now dairy cows in the United States.
“Since 2022, a broader range of wild bird species have been infected globally, which has had deleterious ecological consequences and caused mass die-offs in some species. The situation with wild mammals is also worrying, with some species suffering significant mortality events.”
The WHO says its chief concern is the possibility of the bird flu virus developing new and perhaps more dangerous strains as it bounces around in different animal populations.
In its latest threat assessment, it says there is limited evidence of transmission between mammals due to a lack of direct proof. But there are some worrying signs. The global health agency notes that there have been bird flu-related large die offs of mammal populations at sea. That, combined with virus spread among animal farms in Finland and Spain, that are “consistent with mammal-to-mammal spread in these instances.”
Its biggest worry is the virus developing the ability to infect and then spread from human to human. While there is no evidence of this happening, the WHO does note that since 2021, there have been 28 people infected with the avian flu. In all cases, they were in direct contact with infected animals.
“At the present time, based on available information, WHO assesses the overall public health risk posed by A(H5N1) to be low, and for those with exposure to infected birds or animals or contaminated environments, the risk of infection is considered low-to-moderate. This risk requires close monitoring, and WHO and partners will continue to regularly assess and publish public health risk assessments for avian influenza.”
Since March, bird flu infections have been reported in 33 herds of dairy cattle across eight U.S. states. While the initial infection was from birds to cows, evidence is building that the virus is spreading among cattle. How that is happening remains an unanswered question. High concentrations of the avian flu virus have also been found in milk on grocery store shelves in the States. The WHO says the pasteurization process should inactivate the virus. It adds that investigations are ongoing to figure out the implications of this latest development and what, if any, risks there might be. In the meantime, it is warning people to avoid drinking raw or unpasteurized milk.
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Epidemiologists are continuing to keep a close eye on some new COVID strains, dubbed FLiRT variants. According to scientist, and infectious disease modeler, JP Weiland, FLiRT variants now account for 40% of all infection activity in the United States.
The good news is that his latest modeling seems to indicate the new coronavirus strains won’t have as much impact as expected.
“Lesser impact from escape mutations is always welcomed.”
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Finland’s tourism numbers continue to struggle to return to pre-COVID highs. Russian tourists have all but vanished due to tougher entry restrictions and Finland closing its land borders with Russia. Visitors from Asian countries are also few and far between due to much more complicated flight patterns to get to Finland due to Russian air space now being a no-go.
According to the Finnish Hospitality Association, the number of tourists from Russia, China, and Japan is down by more than a million visitors compared to 2019, the year before COVID struck. That translates to a loss of tourism revenue in the neighbourhood of a billion euros.
Overnight stays in Helsinki have dropped 23% compared to 2019, as the city sees a significant drop in tourism visits. Lapland is the sole Finnish region to see more tourism visits than it did in 2019.
🇺🇦Ukraine/ Russia🇷🇺
Ukraine’s Foreign Affairs Minister is once again pleading with Western allies to deliver promised weapons, and ammunition, and to donate more, and to do it all much faster. Minister Dmytro Kuleba says a lack of air defenses is costing lives.
“It is a tragedy unfolding before our eyes, because if we had the necessary air defense systems, we could have saved both lives and our economy from destruction.”
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This is how bad the manpower situation is in the Ukrainian army. What was supposed to be an orderly rotation of troops near Avdijivka to give Ukraine's elite 47th Mechanized Brigade a badly needed break ended in disaster. The Russians took advantage of the shift and punched through Ukrainian defenses, forcing the brigade, which had been fighting for a year straight, to turn around and rush back into the fight. The Russians managed to push almost a mile beyond Ukrainian lines.
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In an effort to try and bolster the beleaguered Ukrainian ranks, the government has expanded conscription and is also seeking to compel Ukrainians of fighting age living outside the country to come home and join the fight. The stick the government is using is to suspend consular service for all draft-eligible Ukrainians living abroad. And it appears they will have some help rounding them up. Both Poland and Lithuania have indicated they will help return Ukrainian men to their home country.
Polish Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz:
“We have proposed for a long time that we can help the Ukrainian side to ensure that people subject to military service go to Ukraine.”
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Sanctions might finally be having an impact. The Russian economy is showing some cracks, according to a think tank linked to the Russian government. The Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting reports that industrial production is stagnating in Russia. It says exporting industrial products is becoming more difficult and that most industries in the country are seeing their bottom lines impacted. The agency also warns that there are shortages of important components and raw materials due to import restrictions (sanctions). All of this is contributing to a deteriorating Russian economy.
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Russia bombarded Ukraine with another barrage of missiles and drones on Saturday night, targeting energy infrastructure and civilian spaces. The attack was so fierce that the Polish Air Force scrambled fighters on three different occasions throughout the night to protect Polish airspace. Last month, a Russian cruise missile violated Polish airspace for 39 seconds before continuing on to its target in Ukraine.
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GPS jamming from Russia continues to pose problems for airplanes and airliners around the Baltic region. Over the weekend, two Finnair flights traveling from Helsinki to Tartu, Estonia, had to turn back to Helsinki due to GPS jamming preventing them from landing. The airport in Tartu is one of the few that has no other landing systems other than GPS.
Chair of Estonia’s Parliamentary Foreign Affairs Committee, Marko Mihkelson, says this poses a risk to safety and should be taken seriously.
“Allies should not look indifferently at Russia's jamming of the GPS signal and thereby endangering international air traffic.”
Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) accounts claim to have tracked one of the GPS jammers to Kaliningrad. The location of a second one is still being nailed down.
According to the Finnish Transport and Communications Agency, it received more than 18,000 reports of GPS jamming last year, more than double the annual average of each of the previous nine years.
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A contingent of Danish politicians were in Ukraine on Saturday to sign a letter of intent to invest 200 million Danish kroner (about $39 million Cdn) into Ukraine’s defense industry. The money would go to the domestic production of drones, missiles, and artillery in Ukraine by Ukrainian companies.
Among the group was Denmark’s Minister of Defense, Troels Lund Poulsen, who hopes the Danish investment will inspire other countries to follow suit.
Foreign Affairs Minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen was also in attendance:
“It is crucial for Ukraine's progress on the battlefield that they have enough weapons, ammunition, and air defenses. Therefore, Denmark was one of the first countries to enter into a security commitment to Ukraine, which also includes industrial cooperation. Now we take the next step. With Danish investments in Ukraine's defense industry, we can ensure faster and more efficient military support for the front line. It will ensure more optimal conditions for Ukraine's forces in their defense against Russia's war of aggression.”
Danish and Ukrainian defense companies will also cooperate to help build out Ukraine’s defense sector and increase its production capacity.
The idea is that if Ukraine can make more of the weapons and ammunition it needs domestically, then they will get to the front lines much faster. It would also allow countries to simply finance the procurement of future weapons and ammunition donations by simply funding them directly through the Ukrainian defense sector. The downside is that the facilities producing the weapons and ammunition in Ukraine can become targets for Russian missiles, unlike production sites in the EU and NATO member countries.
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Add Sweden to the growing list of European countries that are suddenly pouring huge amounts of money into their defenses as the threat of war looms over Europe. The Swedish government has proposed that the defense budget be increased by 52.8 billion Swedish kroner (about $6.6 billion Cdn) over the next six years. That will push Sweden’s total defense budget to an estimated 185 billion kroner, or roughly 2.6% of its GDP.
The new funding will go towards increasing conscription, which will go from 8,000 to 12,000 between now and 2032. Further conscription increases are also on the table. Along with adding more bodies to the ranks, the Swedish Armed Forces will also create two new mechanized brigades immediately and add two more brigades by 2030.
Air defenses will also be upgraded in order to be able to deal with the threat of drones and other unmanned aerial vehicles, a prominent part of the air war between Ukraine and Russia. Funding will also go to procuring more ammunition, missiles, and other weapons.
The Swedish political parties still need to hammer out a financial plan for how to fund the increases to the defense budget.
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The Faroe Islands will host a summit of Nordic defense ministers today. The two-day Nordefco summit will take place in Tórshavn. It will include defense ministers from Denmark, Sweden, Norway, Finland, and Iceland, along with representatives from Greenland and, of course, the Faroe Islands. The main focus of the summit will be the security situation in the Arctic and North Atlantic.
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The U.S. military will hold week long exercises on the Danish island of Bornholm beginning on May 1. Weapons and equipment are being shipped to Bornholm Airport. This is the third time in three years that the American military has conducted exercises in Denmark.
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Finland will deploy at least eight F-18 Hornets along with 100 airmen to NATO air bases in Romania this summer. This is Finland’s first air defense within NATO’s Air Shield mission. The fighter jets and accompanying crew will deploy on June 3rd for an almost two month long rotation. The Finnish fighter jets will work alongside British Typhoons in conducting air patrols of NATO airspace in the region and reacting to any quick reaction alerts that might occur.
Finnish Air Force Commander Major General Juha-Pekka Keränen:
“The increased presence of air defense assets in the Black Sea region is part of NATO’s basic idea that all Allies prepare to support each other in maintaining collective defense and deterrence. By participating in the Air Shielding mission for the first time, we are doing our part to strengthen NATO’s cohesion and to enhance interoperability with allies.”
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Spain says it will send more Patriot air defense missiles to Ukraine. Spanish Defense Minister Margarita Robles announced the news on April 26, without specifying the exact number of missiles Spain will donate.
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The President of France issued a dire warning about Europe’s future. Emmanuel Macron said the Europe we know today and its way of life are very much under threat. The biggest threat is Russia and its invasion of Ukraine.
“The biggest threat to European security is the war in Ukraine. It is a prerequisite for our own security that Russia does not win this war of aggression. We must be aware that the Europe we have today can die. It depends entirely on our choice. But those choices must be made now. The issue of our European sovereignty is even more important today than it was yesterday.”
Macron, in a speech at the elite French university Sorbonne in Paris, warned that Europe is currently "not equipped to face the risks we are facing.” He said that countries across the EU must “build a strategic concept for a credible European defense for ourselves.”
“We must produce more, we must produce faster, and we must produce like Europeans.”
And it is not just the threat of war with Russia, Macron says Europe is also under siege economically, and EU countries must take a hard look at their industrial policies and competitiveness. And if they can’t compete with the rest of world, Europe risks losing “the global race for the jobs of the future.”
Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen appears to be on the same page. Speaking at an EU summit in Brussels last week, she offered a similar message.
“The world is changing very, very quickly. Europe must be bigger, and that's why we are expanding, but we must also be stronger across security, political, and economic sectors.”
Odds & Ends
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Somewhere in Germany, an organized crime group is losing their minds. Over the weekend, German police responded in force to a number of Lidl grocery stores after employees unpacking banana boxes found large amounts of cocaine hidden inside. Cocaine was found in at least four stores in Brandenburg and another seven in Berlin. Police responded in force to secure the cocaine and guard the stores during the process. The total quantity of seized cocaine has not been revealed, but it is reportedly a large amount. Meanwhile, the street price of bananas in Germany has spiked.
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The German economy continues to show signs of struggling. One of the bigger danger signals reared its head last week, with unemployment rates heading for a ten year high. The German Economic Institute is forecasting that unemployment will soon breach 6%, the highest it has been in Germany since 2015.
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A majority on the Children and Youth Committee at Copenhagen City Hall wants the gaming in city schools to end. Currently, students can game or surf the web on school computers with virtually no restrictions, which might be a clue as to why gaming at school has spiraled into such a major issue. The committee has now asked school administrators to table proposals for how they can begin to limit kids from playing Minecraft, flipping through TikTok, or perusing videos on YouTube instead of doing school work.
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Sold out. All 30,000 tickets for this summer’s Grøn music festival in Valby sold out in short order. That is the first time ever in the festival’s history that a single city has sold out so incredibly fast. The Valby concert features Danish sensation Tobias Rahim and two mystery acts. The Grøn festival, sponsored by Tuborg, takes place in eight different cities from July 18 to 28.
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The skies continue to be not so friendly for Scandinavian airline SAS. The company posted a deficit of one billion Swedish kroner in the latest quarter. Since the beginning of the fiscal year, the company has been awash in red ink, with an accumulated deficit of almost 3.3 billion Swedish kroner. Just a few months ago, SAS barely avoided bankruptcy by agreeing to some significant restructuring.
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Venice has begun charging tourists who are in the popular destination for a day trip a €5 fee. It is a trial tourism tax on visitors who aren’t spending a night in the city. It will also be levied on certain days to see how it goes. The measure to try and control the hordes of tourists that descend on Venice every year is not a popular one, with residents already holding demonstrations against it.
Locals in Venice have long complaining that the city has become more of a tourist attraction than an actual place designed to be lived in and enjoyed. More and more people seem to be voting with their feet, with the city’s population steadily declining since the 1950s.
Venice is the latest in a growing number of tourism destinations that have become increasingly frustrated with endless waves of tourists and are now trying different ways to limit their numbers.
🇩🇰The Week Ahead Round Up🇩🇰
Monday, April 29:
Do you fancy a gin & tonic? Then head to Odense, where you can join the G&T river cruise, where you can sample different types of gin while enjoying a trip down Odense Å with other gin lovers.
Tickets cost 329 kroner. The cruise begins at 7:00 p.m. and takes about an hour and a half.
You can buy tickets HERE.
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Danish Astronaut Andreas Mogensen will have his first press conference since returning to Earth from the International Space Station. It will take place in Copenhagen. After the press conference, Experimentarium will hold an official welcome back to Earth celebration for Mogensen.
The celebration begins at 1:30 p.m. at Experimentarium, which is located at Tuborg Havnevej 7.
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The Carlsberg Visitor Centre in Copenhagen welcomes some new additions to the exhibitions on the company’s long history in the beer trade. The new sections include a historical look at the role of brewery workers and the beer company’s long relationship with football, including its partnership with Premier League Club Liverpool FC.
You can find the beer exhibition at Gamle Carlsberg Vej 11 in Copenhagen.
You can book tickets and find out more information HERE.
Wednesday, May 1:
Craftsmanship month begins at Den Gamle By (The Old Town) in Aarhus. Construction sites and workshops will open up, and the craftsmen will show visitors how they work with traditional crafts and techniques. There will also be special weekend events throughout the month.
You can find out more and buy tickets HERE.
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The Museum of Copenhagen opens its new photo exhibit, ‘Min Butik’ (My Shop), which tells the stories of small shops and businesses and how they faced challenges and reinvented themselves to keep their doors open.
The official opening takes place at 4:00 p.m.
The museum is at Stormgade 18 in Copenhagen.
Learn more HERE.
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The Danish Cycling Federation launches its spring ‘Vi Cykler Til Arbejde’ campaign to encourage more people in Denmark to bicycle back and forth to work. The federation has been doing this since 1997.
The month long campaign ends on May 31.
You can learn more about the campaign HERE.
Thursday, May 2:
The classic cabaret musical Chicago begins a run at the Aarhus Theater. The production is in Danish, but on selected dates, the show offers English subtitles via an app.
The production runs until June 9.
You can find out more HERE.
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King Frederik and Queen Mary will board the Royal Yacht Dannebrog in Copenhagen to begin the annual summer tour at sea. This is the first traditional summer voyage for the couple as King and Queen. They will visit parts of Denmark, the Faroe Islands, and Greenland through the summer.
The first stop is Fredensborg Palace in North Sjælland, where an official welcome will be held at 5:00 p.m.
Friday, May 3:
The two-day SPOT festival begins in Aarhus today. The festival focuses on new and upcoming Nordic artists. More than 200 acts are taking part across 24 different venues around the city.
You can find out all about it HERE.
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The Adventure Festival begins in Copenhagen today. The three-day event features presentations, workshops, demos, activities, and exhibitions designed to encourage people to travel and explore new destinations, be they local or more daring international ventures. During the day, food and drink will be on offer, while the evenings will have music and DJs.
The event takes place at Tunnelfabrikken and Odds and Ends, located at Oceanvej 1, in Nordhavn, Copenhagen.
All the details are HERE.
Saturday, May 4:
The first ever Eurovision Festival pre-party, called MalmöHagen, will be held in Copenhagen. It features more than 30 musical acts, including past and present Eurovision competitors, a Eurovision quiz, a karaoke contest, and a Scandinavian songbook pre-show.
It begins at 7:00 p.m. at Volume by DISIE. It is located at Enghavevej 80.
Tickets start at 100 kroner. You can buy them and find more information HERE.
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The Nordic Race takes place today. The obstacle course race has the theme “Embrace the Pain” and boasts obstacles that will challenge everyone.
It takes place at Amager Beach Park (strandparken)
You can find all the information HERE.
Sunday, May 5:
The sold-out Copenhagen Marathon takes place in Copenhagen today. There are 15,000 runners participating.
You can follow along HERE.